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8:45:00 AM
valgeo
Microsoft, along with its hardware partners, pinned an awful lot of
hope on Windows 8 that it would be the catalyst that would inject new
life into the stagnant PC industry. One analyst believes that while
there will be growth, it will fall far short of what was expected.
While market research firms are forecasting a PC sales growth of
between 7 and 9 percent during 2013, but Sterne Agee analyst Shaw Wu
believes that the rally will be far more muted, and closer to 2 percent.
Wu sees the challenges facing the PC market during 2013 as
three-fold. First, mobile devices -- in particular iOS and Android --
will continue to cannibalize PC sales throughout the year. Put simply,
consumers and enterprise buyers prefer to spend their money on post-PC
devices rather than on PCs.
Another problem facing the PC industry is that the adoption of
Windows 8 has been slower than expected because of what Wu calls "a big
but uncomfortable and unfamiliar change in its user interface."
Finally, and perhaps most importantly at a time when buyers seems
price-sensitive, Wu finds the $500 to $1200 price tags slapped on
Windows 8 hardware to be "uncompetitive" when compared to Android with
prices as low as $99, and the iPad mini which starts at $329.
Wu has a lot to say about Windows 8, and most of it is quite
negative. In a statement to ZDNet Wu claims that Windows 8 hardware is
"overpriced" and offers "no clear benefit in switching from iOS or
Android." He goes on to say that supply chain sources are reporting that
"there is great confusion as there are too many form factors (PC
notebooks, tablets, ultrabooks, and convertibles)" and that most of the
OEMs "do not know what to build and will actually sell."
Wu also predicts that there will be a shift of power as far as the PC
market is concerned, with Asia-Pacific players such as Lenovo, Asustek,
and Samsung stripping market share away from established players such
as Hewlett Packard and Dell. Apple, however, says Wu, will continue to
gain share "due to its highly differentiated Mac."
Looks like 2013 is not going to be a good year for PC vendors.
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